Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 2.712111 3.008863 3.329205 3.701465 4.123095 4.586890 5.137142
2025-03-23 2.338005 2.750419 3.227069 3.821719 4.547899 5.411168 6.522988
2025-03-30 2.038621 2.502815 3.066897 3.808994 4.768693 5.980366 7.645782
2025-04-06 1.814967 2.304983 2.924775 3.775981 4.929835 6.461615 8.686402
2025-04-13 1.581281 2.062611 2.691077 3.584497 4.842743 6.583436 9.230624
2025-04-20 1.461508 1.954701 2.618208 3.592869 5.016786 7.067075 10.329200
2025-04-27 1.381937 1.891581 2.596542 3.664422 5.279624 7.696073 11.712799
2025-05-04 1.312525 1.834915 2.576138 3.731278 5.535887 8.334703 13.185061
2025-05-11 1.244065 1.772827 2.540673 3.768866 5.745847 8.916807 14.632644
2025-05-18 1.180776 1.712614 2.501667 3.794790 5.935587 9.480423 16.115638
2025-05-25 1.092599 1.608094 2.386663 3.688794 5.896152 9.651433 16.911524
2025-06-01 1.026193 1.532157 2.309831 3.636814 5.939833 9.965358 18.006126
2025-06-08 0.964666 1.461090 2.237622 3.589743 5.993097 10.311900 19.234022
2025-06-15 0.944418 1.454208 2.267980 3.718634 6.370123 11.292798 21.878598
2025-06-22 0.898790 1.402917 2.221268 3.708920 6.492430 11.804664 23.626185
2025-06-29 0.853161 1.348553 2.165329 3.677440 6.569471 12.234309 25.258539
2025-07-06 0.784435 1.251447 2.030312 3.491839 6.333138 12.008087 25.380769
2025-07-13 0.753859 1.217239 2.001693 3.499980 6.476039 12.575521 27.428851
2025-07-20 0.735299 1.202429 2.005826 3.569385 6.747216 13.443489 30.342443
2025-07-27 0.717137 1.187102 2.007766 3.634224 7.014600 14.334141 33.470245
2025-08-03 0.695924 1.165051 1.995894 3.670675 7.225203 15.122143 36.474928
2025-08-10 0.674457 1.141265 1.979182 3.695814 7.413304 15.880180 39.539405
2025-08-17 0.637322 1.087028 1.902352 3.593023 7.310027 15.936025 40.650076